000123908 001__ 123908
000123908 005__ 20230921135443.0
000123908 0247_ $$2doi$$a10.1007/s10113-022-02006-x
000123908 0248_ $$2sideral$$a132366
000123908 037__ $$aART-2023-132366
000123908 041__ $$aeng
000123908 100__ $$aFernandez, Eduardo
000123908 245__ $$aClimate change impacts on winter chill in Mediterranean temperate fruit orchards
000123908 260__ $$c2023
000123908 5060_ $$aAccess copy available to the general public$$fUnrestricted
000123908 5203_ $$aTemperate trees require low temperatures during winter and subsequent warm conditions in early spring to flower and eventually bear fruit. Many parts of the Mediterranean region feature winters with low and sometimes marginal chill accumulation. To assess historic and future agroclimatic conditions for cultivating temperate trees (including almonds, pistachios, apricots, sweet cherries and apples), we mapped winter chill throughout this important growing region. We used on-site weather records (1974–2020) to calibrate a weather generator and produced data for historic and future scenarios. To broaden our analysis, we spatially interpolated chill for the whole Mediterranean basin. We supplemented our simulation outcomes by collecting expert knowledge (from farmers and researchers) regarding observed climate change impacts on temperate orchards as well as future risks and concerns generated by climate change. Results showed that northern African growing regions have experienced major chill losses, a likely cause of the irregular and delayed bloom highlighted by experts. The same regions, together with southern Europe, may lose up to 30 Chill Portions by 2050 under a moderate warming scenario. For the future, experts foresee increasing risk of spring frost in early-blooming cultivars, exacerbated bloom-related problems and increasing occurrence of heat waves. Our results provide evidence of likely climate change impacts on temperate orchards. Expert knowledge proved instrumental in interpreting the simulation results as well as in orienting climate change adaptation strategies. The results we present are useful for farmers and orchard managers planning new plantings, as well as for researchers and policy makers developing strategies to adapt fruit orchards to the impacts of climate change.
000123908 536__ $$9info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/ES/MCINN/PCI2020-112113$$9info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/ES/MCINN/PCI2020-111966$$9info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/ES/MCINN-AEI/PID2020-115473RR-I00$$9This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation program under grant agreement No H2020 724060-4PRIMA$$9info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/H2020/724060/EU/Partnership for Research and Innovation in the Mediterranean Area/4PRIMA
000123908 540__ $$9info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess$$aby$$uhttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/es/
000123908 655_4 $$ainfo:eu-repo/semantics/article$$vinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
000123908 700__ $$aMojahid, Hajar
000123908 700__ $$aFadón, Erica
000123908 700__ $$0(orcid)0000-0002-8321-1764$$aRodrigo, Javier
000123908 700__ $$aRuiz, David
000123908 700__ $$aEgea, Jose A.
000123908 700__ $$aBen Mimoun, Mehdi
000123908 700__ $$aKodad, Ossama
000123908 700__ $$aEl Yaacoubi, Adnane
000123908 700__ $$aGhrab, Mohamed
000123908 700__ $$aEgea, José
000123908 700__ $$aBenmoussa, Haïfa
000123908 700__ $$aBorgini, Nadia
000123908 700__ $$aElloumi, Olfa
000123908 700__ $$aLuedeling, Eike
000123908 7102_ $$15011$$2705$$aUniversidad de Zaragoza$$bDpto. CC.Agrar.y Medio Natural$$cÁrea Producción Vegetal
000123908 773__ $$g23 (2023), 7 [18 pp.]$$pRegional Environmental Change$$tRegional Environmental Change$$x1436-3798
000123908 8564_ $$s12585789$$uhttps://zaguan.unizar.es/record/123908/files/texto_completo.pdf$$yVersión publicada
000123908 8564_ $$s2282235$$uhttps://zaguan.unizar.es/record/123908/files/texto_completo.jpg?subformat=icon$$xicon$$yVersión publicada
000123908 909CO $$ooai:zaguan.unizar.es:123908$$particulos$$pdriver
000123908 951__ $$a2023-09-21-13:34:04
000123908 980__ $$aARTICLE