000059207 001__ 59207
000059207 005__ 20210121114521.0
000059207 0247_ $$2doi$$a10.1371/journal.pone.0125760
000059207 0248_ $$2sideral$$a97711
000059207 037__ $$aART-2015-97711
000059207 041__ $$aeng
000059207 100__ $$0(orcid)0000-0001-7483-046X$$aEstrada-Peña , Agustín$$uUniversidad de Zaragoza
000059207 245__ $$aThe impact of climate trends on a tick affecting public health: a retrospective modeling approach for hyaloma marginatum (ixodidae)
000059207 260__ $$c2015
000059207 5060_ $$aAccess copy available to the general public$$fUnrestricted
000059207 5203_ $$aThe impact of climate trends during the period 1901–2009 on the life cycle of Hyalomma marginatum in Europe was modeled to assess changes in the physiological processes of this threat to public health. Monthly records of temperature and water vapour at a resolution of 0.5° and equations describing the life cycle processes of the tick were used. The climate in the target region affected the rates of the life cycle processes of H. marginatum: development rates increased, mortality rates in molting stages decreased, and the survival rates of questing ticks decreased in wide territories of the Mediterranean basin. The modeling framework indicated the existence of critical areas in the Balkans, central Europe, and the western coast of France, where the physiological processes of the tick improved to extents that are consistent with the persistence of populations if introduced. A spatially explicit risk assessment was performed to detect candidate areas where active surveys should be performed to monitor changes in tick density or persistence after a hypothetical introduction. We detected areas where the critical abiotic (climate) and biotic (host density) factors overlap, including most of the Iberian peninsula, the Mediterranean coast of France, eastern Turkey, and portions of the western Black Sea region. Wild ungulate densities are unavailable for large regions of the territory, a factor that might affect the outcome of the study. The risk of successfully establishing H. marginatum populations at northern latitudes of its current colonization range seems to be still low, even if the climate has improved the performance of the tick in these areas.
000059207 536__ $$9info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/FP7/278976/EU/ANTIcipating the Global Onset of Novel Epidemics/ANTIGONE
000059207 540__ $$9info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess$$aby$$uhttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/es/
000059207 590__ $$a3.057$$b2015
000059207 591__ $$aMULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES$$b11 / 62 = 0.177$$c2015$$dQ1$$eT1
000059207 592__ $$a1.427$$b2015
000059207 593__ $$aAgricultural and Biological Sciences (miscellaneous)$$c2015$$dQ1
000059207 593__ $$aMedicine (miscellaneous)$$c2015$$dQ1
000059207 593__ $$aBiochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology (miscellaneous)$$c2015$$dQ1
000059207 655_4 $$ainfo:eu-repo/semantics/article$$vinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
000059207 700__ $$ade la Fuente, José
000059207 700__ $$aLatapia, Tamara
000059207 700__ $$0(orcid)0000-0002-1210-286X$$aOrtega, Carmelo$$uUniversidad de Zaragoza
000059207 7102_ $$11009$$2773$$aUniversidad de Zaragoza$$bDpto. Patología Animal$$cÁrea Sanidad Animal
000059207 773__ $$g10, 5 (2015), 8-16$$pPLoS One$$tPloS one$$x1932-6203
000059207 8564_ $$s1874249$$uhttps://zaguan.unizar.es/record/59207/files/texto_completo.pdf$$yVersión publicada
000059207 8564_ $$s102673$$uhttps://zaguan.unizar.es/record/59207/files/texto_completo.jpg?subformat=icon$$xicon$$yVersión publicada
000059207 909CO $$ooai:zaguan.unizar.es:59207$$particulos$$pdriver
000059207 951__ $$a2021-01-21-11:03:24
000059207 980__ $$aARTICLE