000121060 001__ 121060
000121060 005__ 20230111133132.0
000121060 0247_ $$2doi$$a10.1016/j.jenvman.2018.09.107
000121060 0248_ $$2sideral$$a113043
000121060 037__ $$aART-2019-113043
000121060 041__ $$aeng
000121060 100__ $$0(orcid)0000-0001-7397-1818$$aJimenez-Ruano, Adrián$$uUniversidad de Zaragoza
000121060 245__ $$aThe role of short-term weather conditions in temporal dynamics of fire regime features in mainland Spain
000121060 260__ $$c2019
000121060 5060_ $$aAccess copy available to the general public$$fUnrestricted
000121060 5203_ $$aIn this paper we investigate spatial-temporal associations of fire weather danger and fire regime features from 1979 to 2013. We analyze monthly time series of fire activity (number of fires and burned area) and fire weather danger rating indices (Fire Weather Index, Burning Index and Forest Fire Danger Index) at two spatial scales: (i) regionally, splitting the Spanish mainland into Northwest, Hinterland and Mediterranean regions; and (ii) locally, using the EMCWF grid. All analyses are based on decomposing time series to retrieve differential indicators of seasonal cycles, temporal evolution and anomalies. At regional scale we apply lagged cross-correlation analysis (4 lags or months before fire) to explore seasonal associations; and trend detection tests on the temporal evolution component. At the local scale, we calculate Pearson correlation coefficients between each individual index and the 18 possible fire-activity subsets according to fire size (all sizes, > 1 ha and > 100 ha) and source of ignition (natural, unintended and arson); this analysis is applied to both cycles, temporal and anomalies series. Results suggest that weather controls seasonal fire activity although it has limited influence on temporal evolution, i.e. trends. Stronger associations are detected in the number of fires in the Northwest and Hinterland regions compared to the Mediterranean, which has desynchronized from weather since 1994. Cross-correlation analysis revealed significant fire-weather associations in the Hinterland and Mediterranean, extending up to two months prior fire ignition. On the other hand, the association between temporal trends and weather is weaker, being negative along the Mediterranean and even significant in the case of burned area. The spatial disaggregation into grid cells reveals different spatial patterns across fire-activity subsets. Again, the connection at seasonal level is noticeable, especially in natural-caused fires. In turn, human-related wildfires are occasionally found independent from weather in some areas along the northern coast or the Ebro basin. In any case, this effect diminishes as the size of the fire increases. Our work suggests that for some regions of mainland Spain, these fire danger indices could provide useful information about upcoming fire activity up to two months ahead of time and this information could be used to better inform wildland fire prevention and suppression activities.
000121060 536__ $$9info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/ES/MEC/FPU13-06618$$9info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/ES/MINECO/FJCI-2016-31090
000121060 540__ $$9info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess$$aby-nc-nd$$uhttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/es/
000121060 590__ $$a5.647$$b2019
000121060 591__ $$aENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES$$b33 / 265 = 0.125$$c2019$$dQ1$$eT1
000121060 592__ $$a1.321$$b2019
000121060 593__ $$aEnvironmental Engineering$$c2019$$dQ1
000121060 593__ $$aWaste Management and Disposal$$c2019$$dQ1
000121060 593__ $$aMedicine (miscellaneous)$$c2019$$dQ1
000121060 593__ $$aManagement, Monitoring, Policy and Law$$c2019$$dQ1
000121060 655_4 $$ainfo:eu-repo/semantics/article$$vinfo:eu-repo/semantics/acceptedVersion
000121060 700__ $$0(orcid)0000-0002-0477-0796$$aRodrigues Mimbrero, Marcos.
000121060 700__ $$aJolly, W.Matt
000121060 700__ $$0(orcid)0000-0003-2615-270X$$aRiva Fernandez, Juan de la$$uUniversidad de Zaragoza
000121060 7102_ $$13006$$2010$$aUniversidad de Zaragoza$$bDpto. Geograf. Ordenac.Territ.$$cÁrea Análisis Geográfico Regi.
000121060 773__ $$g241 (2019), 575-586$$pJ. environ. manag.$$tJournal of environmental management$$x0301-4797
000121060 8564_ $$s4222581$$uhttps://zaguan.unizar.es/record/121060/files/texto_completo.pdf$$yPostprint
000121060 8564_ $$s2803325$$uhttps://zaguan.unizar.es/record/121060/files/texto_completo.jpg?subformat=icon$$xicon$$yPostprint
000121060 909CO $$ooai:zaguan.unizar.es:121060$$particulos$$pdriver
000121060 951__ $$a2023-01-11-08:43:19
000121060 980__ $$aARTICLE