000124361 001__ 124361 000124361 005__ 20240319081028.0 000124361 0247_ $$2doi$$a10.1098/rsta.2021.0285 000124361 0248_ $$2sideral$$a132775 000124361 037__ $$aART-2022-132775 000124361 041__ $$aeng 000124361 100__ $$0(orcid)0000-0003-2892-518X$$aVicente-Serrano, Sergio M. 000124361 245__ $$aGlobal drought trends and future projections 000124361 260__ $$c2022 000124361 5060_ $$aAccess copy available to the general public$$fUnrestricted 000124361 5203_ $$aDrought is one of the most difficult natural hazards to quantify and is divided into categories (meteorological, agricultural, ecological and hydrological), which makes assessing recent changes and future scenarios extremely difficult. This opinion piece includes a review of the recent scientific literature on the topic and analyses trends in meteorological droughts by using long-term precipitation records and different drought metrics to evaluate the role of global warming processes in trends of agricultural, hydrological and ecological drought severity over the last four decades, during which a sharp increase in atmospheric evaporative demand (AED) has been recorded. Meteorological droughts do not show any substantial changes at the global scale in at least the last 120 years, but an increase in the severity of agricultural and ecological droughts seems to emerge as a consequence of the increase in the severity of AED. Lastly, this study evaluates drought projections from earth system models and focuses on the most important aspects that need to be considered when evaluating drought processes in a changing climate, such as the use of different metrics and the uncertainty of modelling approaches. This article is part of the Royal Society Science+ meeting issue ‘Drought risk in the Anthropocene’. 000124361 536__ $$9info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/ES/MICINN-FEDER/PCI2019-103631$$9info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/ES/MICINN/PID2019-108589RA-I00 000124361 540__ $$9info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess$$aby$$uhttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/es/ 000124361 590__ $$a5.0$$b2022 000124361 592__ $$a0.637$$b2022 000124361 591__ $$aMULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES$$b19 / 73 = 0.26$$c2022$$dQ2$$eT1 000124361 593__ $$aEngineering (miscellaneous)$$c2022$$dQ1 000124361 593__ $$aPhysics and Astronomy (miscellaneous)$$c2022$$dQ2 000124361 593__ $$aMathematics (miscellaneous)$$c2022$$dQ2 000124361 594__ $$a8.1$$b2022 000124361 655_4 $$ainfo:eu-repo/semantics/article$$vinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion 000124361 700__ $$aPeña-Angulo, Dhais 000124361 700__ $$aBeguería, Santiago 000124361 700__ $$aDomínguez-Castro, Fernando 000124361 700__ $$aTomás-Burguera, Miquel 000124361 700__ $$aNoguera, Iván 000124361 700__ $$aGimeno-Sotelo, Luis 000124361 700__ $$aEl Kenawy, Ahmed 000124361 773__ $$g380 (2022), 20210285 [23 pp.]$$pPhilos. trans. - Royal Soc., Math. phys. eng. sci.$$tPhilosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences$$x1364-503X 000124361 8564_ $$s1707235$$uhttps://zaguan.unizar.es/record/124361/files/texto_completo.pdf$$yVersión publicada 000124361 8564_ $$s1867259$$uhttps://zaguan.unizar.es/record/124361/files/texto_completo.jpg?subformat=icon$$xicon$$yVersión publicada 000124361 909CO $$ooai:zaguan.unizar.es:124361$$particulos$$pdriver 000124361 951__ $$a2024-03-18-16:54:45 000124361 980__ $$aARTICLE