000124383 001__ 124383
000124383 005__ 20240731103321.0
000124383 0247_ $$2doi$$a10.1002/joc.7924
000124383 0248_ $$2sideral$$a132744
000124383 037__ $$aART-2023-132744
000124383 041__ $$aeng
000124383 100__ $$0(orcid)0000-0003-2892-518X$$aVicente-Serrano, Sergio M.
000124383 245__ $$aEvaluation of long-term changes in precipitation over Bolivia based on observations and Coupled Model Intercomparison Project models
000124383 260__ $$c2023
000124383 5060_ $$aAccess copy available to the general public$$fUnrestricted
000124383 5203_ $$aUsing observations and model simulations from the 5th and 6th phases of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5 and CMIP6, respectively), this study evaluated changes in monthly, seasonal, and annual precipitation over Bolivia from 1950 to 2019. Results demonstrate that observed precipitation is characterized by strong interannual and decadal variability. However, long-term precipitation trends were not identified on the annual scale. Similarly, changes in seasonal precipitation were almost nonsignificant (p > .05) for the study period. Spatially, albeit with its complex orography, no substantial regional variations in observed precipitation trends can be identified across Bolivia. In contrast, long-term precipitation trends, based on CMIP5 and CMIP6 models, suggest a dominance of negative trends, mainly during austral winter (JJA) (−10%) and spring (SON) (−15%). These negative trends were more pronounced in the lowlands of Bolivia (−20%). Overall, these contradictory results highlight the need for validating precipitation trend outputs from model simulations, especially in areas of complex topography like Bolivia.
000124383 536__ $$9info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/ES/MICINN-FEDER/CGL2017-82216-R$$9info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/ES/MICINN-FEDER/PCI2019-103631$$9info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/ES/MICINN/PID2019-108589RA-I00
000124383 540__ $$9info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess$$aby-nc-nd$$uhttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/es/
000124383 590__ $$a3.5$$b2023
000124383 592__ $$a1.221$$b2023
000124383 591__ $$aMETEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES$$b41 / 110 = 0.373$$c2023$$dQ2$$eT2
000124383 593__ $$aAtmospheric Science$$c2023$$dQ2
000124383 594__ $$a7.5$$b2023
000124383 655_4 $$ainfo:eu-repo/semantics/article$$vinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
000124383 700__ $$aMaillard, Oswaldo
000124383 700__ $$0(orcid)0000-0001-5333-2285$$aPeña-Angulo, Dhais$$uUniversidad de Zaragoza
000124383 700__ $$0(orcid)0000-0003-3085-7040$$aDomínguez-Castro, Fernando
000124383 700__ $$aNoguera, Iván
000124383 700__ $$aLorenzo-Lacruz, Jorge
000124383 700__ $$aAzorin-Molina, César
000124383 700__ $$aJuez, Carmelo
000124383 700__ $$aGuijarro, José Antonio
000124383 700__ $$aHalifa-Marín, Amar
000124383 700__ $$aEl Kenawy, Ahmed
000124383 7102_ $$13006$$2430$$aUniversidad de Zaragoza$$bDpto. Geograf. Ordenac.Territ.$$cÁrea Geografía Física
000124383 773__ $$g43, 3 (2023), 1431-1447$$pInt. j. climatol.$$tInternational Journal of Climatology$$x0899-8418
000124383 8564_ $$s9811116$$uhttps://zaguan.unizar.es/record/124383/files/texto_completo.pdf$$yVersión publicada
000124383 8564_ $$s2185299$$uhttps://zaguan.unizar.es/record/124383/files/texto_completo.jpg?subformat=icon$$xicon$$yVersión publicada
000124383 909CO $$ooai:zaguan.unizar.es:124383$$particulos$$pdriver
000124383 951__ $$a2024-07-31-09:42:56
000124383 980__ $$aARTICLE