000130688 001__ 130688
000130688 005__ 20240201145619.0
000130688 0247_ $$2doi$$a10.1016/j.econmod.2020.11.015
000130688 0248_ $$2sideral$$a122497
000130688 037__ $$aART-2021-122497
000130688 041__ $$aeng
000130688 100__ $$0(orcid)0000-0001-6499-6837$$aBolea, L.$$uUniversidad de Zaragoza
000130688 245__ $$aDisintegration scenarios in the European Union: A case study of Eastern European economies
000130688 260__ $$c2021
000130688 5060_ $$aAccess copy available to the general public$$fUnrestricted
000130688 5203_ $$aThis paper examines the progress of countries’ integration within the EU, and the expansion to include many Eastern European countries in this phenomenon. We create a multisectoral and multiregional input-output model (MRIO) to study a group of “counterfactuals” to evaluate the economic integration/disintegration phenomenon in this context. As an initial experiment, we conduct a study of the “non-integration” of Eastern European countries. On the basis of the MRIO model and, inspired by the synthetic indicators methodology and hypothetical extraction methods, we first study the trends in their trade relationships and technological and structural composition. Second, we design hypothetical scenarios based on the behavior observed in these trends to analyze the contribution of the disintegration process to economic growth and structural specialization. We find that Eastern Europe is highly vulnerable to the effects of trade with other European countries; the impact of a possible exit of Eastern countries would be almost three times greater for those countries than for the rest of Europe.
000130688 536__ $$9info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/ES/DGA-FEDER/S40-R20$$9info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/ES/MINECO/BES-2017-080087
000130688 540__ $$9info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess$$aAll rights reserved$$uhttp://www.europeana.eu/rights/rr-f/
000130688 590__ $$a3.875$$b2021
000130688 591__ $$aECONOMICS$$b91 / 381 = 0.239$$c2021$$dQ1$$eT1
000130688 592__ $$a1.065$$b2021
000130688 593__ $$aEconomics and Econometrics$$c2021$$dQ1
000130688 594__ $$a4.8$$b2021
000130688 655_4 $$ainfo:eu-repo/semantics/article$$vinfo:eu-repo/semantics/acceptedVersion
000130688 700__ $$0(orcid)0000-0003-3113-1698$$aDuarte, R.$$uUniversidad de Zaragoza
000130688 700__ $$aHewings, G.J.D.
000130688 700__ $$0(orcid)0000-0001-9521-4156$$aSánchez-Chóliz, J.$$uUniversidad de Zaragoza
000130688 7102_ $$14000$$2415$$aUniversidad de Zaragoza$$bDpto. Análisis Económico$$cÁrea Fund. Análisis Económico
000130688 773__ $$g95 (2021), 1-12$$pEcon. model.$$tEconomic Modelling$$x0264-9993
000130688 8564_ $$s1369315$$uhttps://zaguan.unizar.es/record/130688/files/texto_completo.pdf$$yPostprint
000130688 8564_ $$s1303410$$uhttps://zaguan.unizar.es/record/130688/files/texto_completo.jpg?subformat=icon$$xicon$$yPostprint
000130688 909CO $$ooai:zaguan.unizar.es:130688$$particulos$$pdriver
000130688 951__ $$a2024-02-01-14:52:54
000130688 980__ $$aARTICLE