000136108 001__ 136108
000136108 005__ 20250923084428.0
000136108 0247_ $$2doi$$a10.1016/j.uclim.2024.102019
000136108 0248_ $$2sideral$$a139069
000136108 037__ $$aART-2024-139069
000136108 041__ $$aeng
000136108 100__ $$aLemus-Canovas, Marc
000136108 245__ $$aAttribution of the unprecedented heat event of August 2023 in Barcelona (Spain) to observed and projected global warming
000136108 260__ $$c2024
000136108 5060_ $$aAccess copy available to the general public$$fUnrestricted
000136108 5203_ $$aThe study analyses observed and numerical simulations of daily maximum and minimum temperature from 1920 onwards and to investigate the unprecedented heat event that occurred in 21–23 August 2023 in Barcelona. The historical changes in the intensity of such events, their expected future changes under scenarios of +1.5 °C, +2 °C, and + 3 °C, and the future exposure of populations to such kind of events are examined using the flow analogues approach. The findings indicate a significant increase in observed temperatures for similar heatwaves to those occurred in August 2023. The study also emphasises the impact of global warming on the intensification of heat events over the impact of urbanization. Additionally, after examining the role of natural variability in temperature changes, we concluded that global warming is the primary factor driving the increase in heatwave intensity. In terms of the frequency of such events, we found that extreme heat events, such as the August 2023 heatwave, will become 2 and 5 times more likely with a global summer warming of 2 °C and 3 °C, respectively. This will expose a large portion of the population to dangerous heat levels highlighting the importance of limiting global warming to 1.5 °C to mitigate the impacts on urban populations.
000136108 536__ $$9info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/ES/MICINN/RYC2021-034330-I
000136108 540__ $$9info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess$$aby-nc$$uhttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/3.0/es/
000136108 590__ $$a6.9$$b2024
000136108 592__ $$a1.563$$b2024
000136108 591__ $$aMETEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES$$b8 / 111 = 0.072$$c2024$$dQ1$$eT1
000136108 593__ $$aAtmospheric Science$$c2024$$dQ1
000136108 591__ $$aENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES$$b50 / 374 = 0.134$$c2024$$dQ1$$eT1
000136108 593__ $$aUrban Studies$$c2024$$dQ1
000136108 593__ $$aGeography, Planning and Development$$c2024$$dQ1
000136108 593__ $$aEnvironmental Science (miscellaneous)$$c2024$$dQ1
000136108 655_4 $$ainfo:eu-repo/semantics/article$$vinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
000136108 700__ $$aMontesinos-Ciuró, Eduard
000136108 700__ $$aCearreta-Innocenti, Tania
000136108 700__ $$0(orcid)0000-0001-7663-1202$$aSerrano-Notivoli, Roberto$$uUniversidad de Zaragoza
000136108 700__ $$aRoyé, Dominic
000136108 7102_ $$13006$$2430$$aUniversidad de Zaragoza$$bDpto. Geograf. Ordenac.Territ.$$cÁrea Geografía Física
000136108 773__ $$g56 (2024), 102019 [14 pp.]$$tUrban Climate$$x2212-0955
000136108 8564_ $$s4959913$$uhttps://zaguan.unizar.es/record/136108/files/texto_completo.pdf$$yVersión publicada
000136108 8564_ $$s2021956$$uhttps://zaguan.unizar.es/record/136108/files/texto_completo.jpg?subformat=icon$$xicon$$yVersión publicada
000136108 909CO $$ooai:zaguan.unizar.es:136108$$particulos$$pdriver
000136108 951__ $$a2025-09-22-14:40:59
000136108 980__ $$aARTICLE