000144598 001__ 144598
000144598 005__ 20240829125213.0
000144598 0247_ $$2doi$$a10.1111/nyas.15201
000144598 0248_ $$2sideral$$a139409
000144598 037__ $$aART-2024-139409
000144598 041__ $$aeng
000144598 100__ $$0(orcid)0000-0003-2892-518X$$aVicente-Serrano, Sergio M.
000144598 245__ $$aDrought risk in Moldova under global warming and possible crop adaptation strategies
000144598 260__ $$c2024
000144598 5060_ $$aAccess copy available to the general public$$fUnrestricted
000144598 5203_ $$aThis study analyzes the relationship between drought processes and crop yields in Moldova, together with the effects of possible future climate change on crops. The severity of drought is analyzed over time in Moldova using the Standard Precipitation Index, the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index, and their relationship with crop yields. In addition, rainfall variability and its relationship with crop yields are examined using spectral analysis and squared wavelet coherence. Observed station data (1950–2020 and 1850–2020), ERA5 reanalysis data (1950–2020), and climate model simulations (period 1970–2100) are used. Crop yield data (maize, sunflower, grape), data from experimental plots (wheat), and the Enhanced Vegetation Index from Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer satellites were also used. Results show that although the severity of meteorological droughts has decreased in the last 170 years, the impact of precipitation deficits on different crop yields has increased, concurrent with a sharp increase in temperature, which negatively affected crop yields. Annual crops are now more vulnerable to natural rainfall variability and, in years characterized by rainfall deficits, the possibility of reductions in crop yield increases due to sharp increases in temperature. Projections reveal a pessimistic outlook in the absence of adaptation, highlighting the urgency of developing new agricultural management strategies.
000144598 536__ $$9info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EUR/MICINN/FEDER/TED2021-129152B-C41$$9info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/ES/MICINN/PID2022-137244OB-I00
000144598 540__ $$9info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess$$aby$$uhttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/es/
000144598 655_4 $$ainfo:eu-repo/semantics/article$$vinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
000144598 700__ $$0(orcid)0000-0002-2985-1023$$aJuez, Carmelo
000144598 700__ $$aPotopová, Vera
000144598 700__ $$aBoincean, Boris
000144598 700__ $$aMurphy, Conor
000144598 700__ $$0(orcid)0000-0003-3085-7040$$aDomínguez-Castro, Fernando
000144598 700__ $$aEklundh, Lars
000144598 700__ $$0(orcid)0000-0001-5333-2285$$aPeña-Angulo, Dhais$$uUniversidad de Zaragoza
000144598 700__ $$aNoguera, Iván
000144598 700__ $$aJin, Hongxiao
000144598 700__ $$aConradt, Tobias
000144598 700__ $$aGarcía-Herrera, Ricardo
000144598 700__ $$aGarrido-Perez, José Manuel
000144598 700__ $$aBarriopedro, David
000144598 700__ $$aGutiérrez, José M.
000144598 700__ $$aIturbide, Maialen
000144598 700__ $$aLorenzo-Lacruz, Jorge
000144598 700__ $$aKenawy, Ahmed El
000144598 7102_ $$13006$$2430$$aUniversidad de Zaragoza$$bDpto. Geograf. Ordenac.Territ.$$cÁrea Geografía Física
000144598 773__ $$g1538, 1 (2024), 144-161$$pAnn. N.Y. Acad. Sci.$$tANNALS OF THE NEW YORK ACADEMY OF SCIENCES$$x0077-8923
000144598 8564_ $$s4484645$$uhttps://zaguan.unizar.es/record/144598/files/texto_completo.pdf$$yVersión publicada
000144598 8564_ $$s1928326$$uhttps://zaguan.unizar.es/record/144598/files/texto_completo.jpg?subformat=icon$$xicon$$yVersión publicada
000144598 909CO $$ooai:zaguan.unizar.es:144598$$particulos$$pdriver
000144598 951__ $$a2024-08-29-10:45:28
000144598 980__ $$aARTICLE