000145541 001__ 145541
000145541 005__ 20241114102852.0
000145541 0247_ $$2doi$$a10.1007/s10955-012-0629-0
000145541 0248_ $$2sideral$$a80218
000145541 037__ $$aART-2012-80218
000145541 041__ $$aeng
000145541 100__ $$aTejedor, Alejandro
000145541 245__ $$aOne-Way Markov Process Approach to Repeat Times of Large Earthquakes in Faults
000145541 260__ $$c2012
000145541 5060_ $$aAccess copy available to the general public$$fUnrestricted
000145541 5203_ $$aOne of the uses of Markov Chains is the simulation of the seismic cycle in a fault, i.e. as a renewal model for the repetition of its characteristic earthquakes. This representation is consistent with Reid’s elastic rebound theory. We propose a general one-way Markovian model in which the waiting time distribution, its first moments, coefficient of variation, and functions of error and alarm (related to the predictability of the model) can be obtained analytically. The fact that in any one-way Markov cycle the coefficient of variation of the corresponding distribution of cycle lengths is always lower than one concurs with observations of large earthquakes in seismic faults. The waiting time distribution of one of the limits of this model is the negative binomial distribution; as an application, we use it to fit the Parkfield earthquake series in the San Andreas fault, California.
000145541 540__ $$9info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess$$aAll rights reserved$$uhttp://www.europeana.eu/rights/rr-f/
000145541 590__ $$a1.4$$b2012
000145541 591__ $$aPHYSICS, MATHEMATICAL$$b22 / 55 = 0.4$$c2012$$dQ2$$eT2
000145541 655_4 $$ainfo:eu-repo/semantics/article$$vinfo:eu-repo/semantics/acceptedVersion
000145541 700__ $$0(orcid)0000-0001-7275-9321$$aGomez, Javier B.$$uUniversidad de Zaragoza
000145541 700__ $$0(orcid)0000-0002-4303-9525$$aPacheco, Amalio F.$$uUniversidad de Zaragoza
000145541 7102_ $$12004$$2398$$aUniversidad de Zaragoza$$bDpto. Física Teórica$$cÁrea Física de la Tierra
000145541 7102_ $$12000$$2685$$aUniversidad de Zaragoza$$bDpto. Ciencias de la Tierra$$cÁrea Petrología y Geoquímica
000145541 773__ $$g149, 5 (2012), 951-963$$pJ. stat. phys.$$tJOURNAL OF STATISTICAL PHYSICS$$x0022-4715
000145541 8564_ $$s250425$$uhttps://zaguan.unizar.es/record/145541/files/texto_completo.pdf$$yPostprint
000145541 8564_ $$s1294601$$uhttps://zaguan.unizar.es/record/145541/files/texto_completo.jpg?subformat=icon$$xicon$$yPostprint
000145541 909CO $$ooai:zaguan.unizar.es:145541$$particulos$$pdriver
000145541 951__ $$a2024-11-14-10:26:28
000145541 980__ $$aARTICLE