148158 20250121144845.0 doi 10.1007/s11069-015-2054-6 sideral 92968 ART-2016-92968 eng Simón, J.L. Universidad de Zaragoza (orcid)0000-0003-1412-5245 Enhanced palaeoseismic succession at the Concud Fault (Iberian Chain, Spain): new insights for seismic hazard assessment 2016 Access copy available to the general public Unrestricted A new trench excavated at the southern sector of the Concud Fault provided evidence of three palaeoseismic events dated to ca. 21, 18 and 13–3 ka BP, respectively. The two youngest ones had not been detected in previous studies. The results extend the total recorded palaeoseismic succession for the fault: eleven events since ca. 74 ka BP to the present day, with an average recurrence period between 7.1 ± 3.5 and 8.0 ± 3.3 ka; total net accumulated slip of about 20.5 m, with average coseismic slip of 1.9 m. The displacement pattern shows alternating periods of fast slip (up to 0.53 mm/a) and slow slip (0.13 mm/a), resulting in average slip rate of 0.29 mm/a. Using this palaeoseismic information, as well as the potential magnitude previously attributed to the characteristic earthquake at the Concud Fault (M ˜ 6.5–6.6), a simple probabilistic seismic hazard analysis has been performed. The estimated probability of occurrence of the characteristic earthquake within the next 500-year period ranges from 2.3 to 26.1 %, according to distinct hypotheses on the elapsed time derived from the uncertainty about the age of the youngest event. info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/ES/MINECO/BES-2010-031339 info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/ES/MINECO/CGL2012-35662 info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/ES/UZ/E27 info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess All rights reserved http://www.europeana.eu/rights/rr-f/ 1.833 2016 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY 91 / 188 = 0.484 2016 Q2 T2 WATER RESOURCES 33 / 87 = 0.379 2016 Q2 T2 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES 42 / 83 = 0.506 2016 Q3 T2 0.798 2016 Earth and Planetary Sciences (miscellaneous) 2016 Q1 Water Science and Technology 2016 Q1 Atmospheric Science 2016 Q2 info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/acceptedVersion Arlegui, L.E. Universidad de Zaragoza (orcid)0000-0001-5091-9398 Ezquerro, L. (orcid)0000-0003-0900-1440 Lafuente, P. Liesa, C.L. Universidad de Zaragoza (orcid)0000-0002-9130-117X Luzón, A. Universidad de Zaragoza (orcid)0000-0002-8929-9429 2000 428 Universidad de Zaragoza Dpto. Ciencias de la Tierra Área Geodinámica Interna 2000 280 Universidad de Zaragoza Dpto. Ciencias de la Tierra Área Estratigrafía 80 (2016), 1967-1993 Nat. hazards NATURAL HAZARDS 0921-030X 1337643 http://zaguan.unizar.es/record/148158/files/texto_completo.pdf Postprint 1650776 http://zaguan.unizar.es/record/148158/files/texto_completo.jpg?subformat=icon icon Postprint oai:zaguan.unizar.es:148158 articulos driver 2025-01-21-14:47:38 ARTICLE