000151260 001__ 151260
000151260 005__ 20251017144547.0
000151260 0247_ $$2doi$$a10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.132818
000151260 0248_ $$2sideral$$a143052
000151260 037__ $$aART-2025-143052
000151260 041__ $$aeng
000151260 100__ $$0(orcid)0000-0003-2892-518X$$aVicente-Serrano, Sergio M.
000151260 245__ $$aForest expansion and irrigated agriculture reinforce low river flows in southern Europe during dry years
000151260 260__ $$c2025
000151260 5203_ $$aThis study analyses the evolution of annual streamflow across Europe between 1962 and 2017, focusing on the connection of streamflow trends with climate dynamics and physiographic and land cover characteristics and changes. The spatial pattern of trends in streamflow shows strong agreement with the spatial patterns of climate trends, suggesting a climate control of these trends. However, analysing temporal evolution at the basin scale shows that the strong decrease in streamflow in southern Europe cannot be directly associated with climate dynamic. In fact, a negative trend related to non-climate factors clearly emerges. Rather, we show that forest growth and irrigated agriculture are the leading drivers of negative streamflow trends in southern Europe, particularly during dry years due to the greater proportion of green water consumption compared to blue water generation. These findings have significant implications, particularly in the context of widely embraced nature-based solutions for mitigating climate change, including carbon sequestration through forests and the planned expansion of irrigated agricultural lands in central and northern European countries as a response to rising crop water demands. These developments could potentially diminish water resources availability, leading to an increased occurrence and severity of low flow periods.
000151260 536__ $$9info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EUR/MICINN/FEDER/TED2021-129152B-C41$$9info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/ES/MICINN/PID2022-137244OB-I00
000151260 540__ $$9info:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccess$$aAll rights reserved$$uhttp://www.europeana.eu/rights/rr-f/
000151260 655_4 $$ainfo:eu-repo/semantics/article$$vinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
000151260 700__ $$aKenawy, Ahmed El
000151260 700__ $$aPeña-Angulo, Dhais
000151260 700__ $$aLorenzo-Lacruz, Jorge
000151260 700__ $$aMurphy, Conor
000151260 700__ $$aHannaford, Jamie
000151260 700__ $$aDadson, Simon
000151260 700__ $$aStahl, Kerstin
000151260 700__ $$aNoguera, Iván
000151260 700__ $$aFraquesa, Magí
000151260 700__ $$aFernández-Duque, Beatriz
000151260 700__ $$0(orcid)0000-0003-3085-7040$$aDomínguez-Castro, Fernando
000151260 773__ $$g653 (2025), 132818 `[15 pp.]$$pJ. hydrol.$$tJournal of Hydrology$$x0022-1694
000151260 8564_ $$s16282481$$uhttps://zaguan.unizar.es/record/151260/files/texto_completo.pdf$$yVersión publicada
000151260 8564_ $$s2553417$$uhttps://zaguan.unizar.es/record/151260/files/texto_completo.jpg?subformat=icon$$xicon$$yVersión publicada
000151260 909CO $$ooai:zaguan.unizar.es:151260$$particulos$$pdriver
000151260 951__ $$a2025-10-17-14:10:19
000151260 980__ $$aARTICLE