000163922 001__ 163922
000163922 005__ 20251113160752.0
000163922 0247_ $$2doi$$a10.1016/j.chaos.2020.110068
000163922 0248_ $$2sideral$$a119108
000163922 037__ $$aART-2020-119108
000163922 041__ $$aeng
000163922 100__ $$0(orcid)0000-0002-1192-8707$$aAleta, A.
000163922 245__ $$aA data-driven assessment of early travel restrictions related to the spreading of the novel COVID-19 within mainland China
000163922 260__ $$c2020
000163922 5060_ $$aAccess copy available to the general public$$fUnrestricted
000163922 5203_ $$aTwo months after it was firstly reported, the novel coronavirus disease COVID-19 spread worldwide. However, the vast majority of reported infections until February occurred in China. To assess the effect of early travel restrictions adopted by the health authorities in China, we have implemented an epidemic metapopulation model that is fed with mobility data corresponding to 2019 and 2020. This allows to compare two radically different scenarios, one with no travel restrictions and another in which mobility is reduced by a travel ban. Our findings indicate that i) travel restrictions might be an effective measure in the short term, however, ii) they are ineffective when it comes to completely eliminate the disease. The latter is due to the impossibility of removing the risk of seeding the disease to other regions. Furthermore, our study highlights the importance of developing more realistic models of behavioral changes when a disease outbreak is unfolding.
000163922 536__ $$9info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/ES/DGA/E36-17R-FENOL$$9info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/ES/MINECO-FEDER/FIS2017-87519-P
000163922 540__ $$9info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess$$aby-nc-nd$$uhttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/deed.es
000163922 590__ $$a5.944$$b2020
000163922 591__ $$aPHYSICS, MATHEMATICAL$$b1 / 55 = 0.018$$c2020$$dQ1$$eT1
000163922 591__ $$aMATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS$$b4 / 108 = 0.037$$c2020$$dQ1$$eT1
000163922 591__ $$aPHYSICS, MULTIDISCIPLINARY$$b14 / 84 = 0.167$$c2020$$dQ1$$eT1
000163922 592__ $$a1.042$$b2020
000163922 593__ $$aApplied Mathematics$$c2020$$dQ1
000163922 593__ $$aStatistical and Nonlinear Physics$$c2020$$dQ1
000163922 593__ $$aPhysics and Astronomy (miscellaneous)$$c2020$$dQ1
000163922 593__ $$aMathematics (miscellaneous)$$c2020$$dQ1
000163922 655_4 $$ainfo:eu-repo/semantics/article$$vinfo:eu-repo/semantics/acceptedVersion
000163922 700__ $$aHu, Q.
000163922 700__ $$aYe, J.
000163922 700__ $$aJi, P.
000163922 700__ $$0(orcid)0000-0002-0895-1893$$aMoreno, Yamir$$uUniversidad de Zaragoza
000163922 7102_ $$12004$$2405$$aUniversidad de Zaragoza$$bDpto. Física Teórica$$cÁrea Física Teórica
000163922 773__ $$g139 (2020), 110068 [6 pp.]$$pChaos, solitons fractals$$tChaos, Solitons and Fractals$$x0960-0779
000163922 8564_ $$s3524999$$uhttps://zaguan.unizar.es/record/163922/files/texto_completo.pdf$$yPostprint
000163922 8564_ $$s2564250$$uhttps://zaguan.unizar.es/record/163922/files/texto_completo.jpg?subformat=icon$$xicon$$yPostprint
000163922 909CO $$ooai:zaguan.unizar.es:163922$$particulos$$pdriver
000163922 951__ $$a2025-11-13-14:57:54
000163922 980__ $$aARTICLE