Modeling and forecasting extreme hot events in the central Ebro Valley, a continental-mediterranean area
Resumen: This work has three objectives, first, to analyze the observed change in the summer maximum daily temperature during the period 1951–2004, in the centre of the Ebro river basin, a region situated in the NE of the Iberian Peninsula. Secondly, to characterize the extreme hot event behaviour by means of a statistical model consisting of a non-homogeneous Poisson process, to represent the occurrence, and three regression models, each with an adequate non-Normal error distribution, to model its severity. The model parameters are allowed to depend on temperature covariates, to take into account the influence of global warming in hot event generating process. Finally, using the fitted model and different outputs from a GCM, we obtain a medium term projection, up to 2050, of the expected behaviour of these extreme events.
Idioma: Inglés
DOI: 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2006.11.005
Año: 2007
Publicado en: GLOBAL AND PLANETARY CHANGE 57, 1-2 (2007), 43-58
ISSN: 0921-8181

Factor impacto JCR: 2.311 (2007)
Categ. JCR: GEOGRAPHY, PHYSICAL rank: 6 / 31 = 0.194 (2007) - Q1 - T1
Categ. JCR: GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY rank: 22 / 136 = 0.162 (2007) - Q1 - T1

Factor impacto SCIMAGO:

Financiación: info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/ES/MICINN/REN2002-00009
Tipo y forma: Article (PostPrint)
Área (Departamento): Estadística e Investigación Operativa (Departamento de Métodos Estadísticos)

Creative Commons You must give appropriate credit, provide a link to the license, and indicate if changes were made. You may do so in any reasonable manner, but not in any way that suggests the licensor endorses you or your use. You may not use the material for commercial purposes. If you remix, transform, or build upon the material, you may not distribute the modified material.

Exportado de SIDERAL (2017-05-19-13:44:14)

Este artículo se encuentra en las siguientes colecciones:
Articles > Artículos por área > Estadística e Investigación Operativa

 Record created 2017-05-19, last modified 2017-05-20

Rate this document:

Rate this document:
(Not yet reviewed)