76863 20250516123809.0 doi 10.1007/s00024-014-0871-2 sideral 109241 ART-2015-109241 eng Tejedor Cubero, Alejandro (orcid)0000-0002-3800-5304 The negative binomial distribution as a renewal model for the recurrence of large earthquakes 2015 Access copy available to the general public Unrestricted The negative binomial distribution is presented as the waiting time distribution of a cyclic Markov model. This cycle simulates the seismic cycle in a fault. As an example, this model, which can describe recurrences with aperiodicities between 0 and 0.5, is used to fit the Parkfield, California earthquake series in the San Andreas Fault. The performance of the model in the forecasting is expressed in terms of error diagrams and compared with other recurrence models from literature. info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess All rights reserved http://www.europeana.eu/rights/rr-f/ 1.677 2015 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS 40 / 81 = 0.494 2015 Q2 T2 0.73 2015 Geophysics 2015 Q2 Geochemistry and Petrology 2015 Q2 info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/acceptedVersion Gómez Jiménez, Javier Universidad de Zaragoza (orcid)0000-0001-7275-9321 Fernández-Pacheco Pérez, Amalio Universidad de Zaragoza (orcid)0000-0002-4303-9525 2004 398 Universidad de Zaragoza Dpto. Física Teórica Área Física de la Tierra 2000 685 Universidad de Zaragoza Dpto. Ciencias de la Tierra Área Petrología y Geoquímica 172, 1 (2015), 23-31 Pure appl. geophys. PURE AND APPLIED GEOPHYSICS 0033-4553 357527 http://zaguan.unizar.es/record/76863/files/texto_completo.pdf Postprint 36560 http://zaguan.unizar.es/record/76863/files/texto_completo.jpg?subformat=icon icon Postprint oai:zaguan.unizar.es:76863 articulos driver 2025-05-16-12:36:45 ARTICLE