78724 20200117213750.0 doi 10.1016/j.landusepol.2018.03.009 sideral 105367 ART-2018-105367 eng (orcid)0000-0001-8904-6168 Iriarte-Goñi, I. Universidad de Zaragoza Should Forest Transition Theory include effects on forest fires? The case of Spain in the second half of the twentieth century 2018 Access copy available to the general public Unrestricted This paper analyses the increase in forest surface covered by trees in Spain in the second half of the twentieth century in the light of Forest Transition Theory and explores the existence of a statistical relationship between this process and forest fires. The study describes the afforestation policy based on new forest plantations developed by Franco''s Dictatorship in the period 1940–1988, linking it to the forest fires that occurred in the period 1968–2002, in order to determine, at a provincial level, the extent to which the afforestation activity affected the number of hectares burnt. The evidence shows a significant positive relationship between forest fires and the afforested hectares, especially 30–35 years after plantations. The effect increases when the model is implemented exclusively for the Cantabrian and Atlantic north-west provinces, especially affected by afforestation programmes. Our findings reinforce the need to complement certain models of Forest Transition based on tree plantations, taking into account the possible relationship that they have with fires, particularly in environmental contexts prone to fires. info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/ES/DGA/ESF/Agrifood Economy Globalization info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/ES/DGA/ESF/Econometric Model selection info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/ES/DGA/ESF/Growth Demand and Natural Resources info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/ES/MICINN/ECO2015-65582 info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/ES/MICINN/ECO2016-74940 info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess by-nc-nd http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/es/ 3.573 2018 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES 26 / 116 = 0.224 2018 Q1 T1 1.406 2018 Forestry 2018 Q1 Nature and Landscape Conservation 2018 Q1 Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law 2018 Q1 Geography, Planning and Development 2018 Q1 info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/acceptedVersion (orcid)0000-0001-8691-1064 Ayuda, M.I. Universidad de Zaragoza 4000 415 Universidad de Zaragoza Dpto. Análisis Económico Área Fund. Análisis Económico 4008 480 Universidad de Zaragoza Dpto. Estruc.Hª Econ.y Eco.Pb. Área Hª e Instituc.Económ. 76 (2018), 789-797 Land use policy LAND USE POLICY 0264-8377 387443 http://zaguan.unizar.es/record/78724/files/texto_completo.pdf Postprint 60771 http://zaguan.unizar.es/record/78724/files/texto_completo.jpg?subformat=icon icon Postprint oai:zaguan.unizar.es:78724 articulos driver 2020-01-17-21:32:02 ARTICLE