000086305 001__ 86305
000086305 005__ 20200716101521.0
000086305 0247_ $$2doi$$a10.1111/gcb.14539
000086305 0248_ $$2sideral$$a110460
000086305 037__ $$aART-2019-110460
000086305 041__ $$aeng
000086305 100__ $$aDelpierre, N.
000086305 245__ $$aChilling and forcing temperatures interact to predict the onset of wood formation in Northern Hemisphere conifers
000086305 260__ $$c2019
000086305 5060_ $$aAccess copy available to the general public$$fUnrestricted
000086305 5203_ $$aThe phenology of wood formation is a critical process to consider for predicting how trees from the temperate and boreal zones may react to climate change. Compared to leaf phenology, however, the determinism of wood phenology is still poorly known. Here, we compared for the first time three alternative ecophysiological model classes (threshold models, heat-sum models and chilling-influenced heat-sum models) and an empirical model in their ability to predict the starting date of xylem cell enlargement in spring, for four major Northern Hemisphere conifers (Larix decidua, Pinus sylvestris, Picea abies and Picea mariana). We fitted models with Bayesian inference to wood phenological data collected for 220 site-years over Europe and Canada. The chilling-influenced heat-sum model received most support for all the four studied species, predicting validation data with a 7.7-day error, which is within one day of the observed data resolution. We conclude that both chilling and forcing temperatures determine the onset of wood formation in Northern Hemisphere conifers. Importantly, the chilling-influenced heat-sum model showed virtually no spatial bias whichever the species, despite the large environmental gradients considered. This suggests that the spring onset of wood formation is far less affected by local adaptation than by environmentally driven plasticity. In a context of climate change, we therefore expect rising winter–spring temperature to exert ambivalent effects on the spring onset of wood formation, tending to hasten it through the accumulation of forcing temperature, but imposing a higher forcing temperature requirement through the lower accumulation of chilling.
000086305 536__ $$9info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EUR/COST/STREeSS-FP1106
000086305 540__ $$9info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess$$aAll rights reserved$$uhttp://www.europeana.eu/rights/rr-f/
000086305 590__ $$a8.555$$b2019
000086305 591__ $$aECOLOGY$$b7 / 168 = 0.042$$c2019$$dQ1$$eT1
000086305 591__ $$aBIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION$$b1 / 59 = 0.017$$c2019$$dQ1$$eT1
000086305 591__ $$aENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES$$b9 / 265 = 0.034$$c2019$$dQ1$$eT1
000086305 592__ $$a4.198$$b2019
000086305 593__ $$aEcology$$c2019$$dQ1
000086305 593__ $$aGlobal and Planetary Change$$c2019$$dQ1
000086305 593__ $$aEnvironmental Science (miscellaneous)$$c2019$$dQ1
000086305 593__ $$aEnvironmental Chemistry$$c2019$$dQ1
000086305 655_4 $$ainfo:eu-repo/semantics/article$$vinfo:eu-repo/semantics/acceptedVersion
000086305 700__ $$aLireux, S.
000086305 700__ $$aHartig, F.
000086305 700__ $$aCamarero, J.J.
000086305 700__ $$aCheaib, A.
000086305 700__ $$aCufar, K.
000086305 700__ $$aCuny, H.
000086305 700__ $$aDeslauriers, A.
000086305 700__ $$aFonti, P.
000086305 700__ $$aGricar, J.
000086305 700__ $$aHuang, J.G.
000086305 700__ $$aKrause, C.
000086305 700__ $$aLiu, G.
000086305 700__ $$0(orcid)0000-0002-7585-3636$$ade Luis, M.$$uUniversidad de Zaragoza
000086305 700__ $$aMäkinen, H.
000086305 700__ $$0(orcid)0000-0003-1542-2698$$adel Castillo, E.M.
000086305 700__ $$aMorin, H.
000086305 700__ $$aNöjd, P.
000086305 700__ $$aOberhuber, W.
000086305 700__ $$aPrislan, P.
000086305 700__ $$aRossi, S.
000086305 700__ $$aSaderi, S.M.
000086305 700__ $$aTreml, V.
000086305 700__ $$aVavrick, H.
000086305 700__ $$aRathgeber, C.B.K.
000086305 7102_ $$13006$$2430$$aUniversidad de Zaragoza$$bDpto. Geograf. Ordenac.Territ.$$cÁrea Geografía Física
000086305 773__ $$g25, 3 (2019), 1089-1105$$pGlob. chang. biol.$$tGlobal Change Biology$$x1354-1013
000086305 8564_ $$s1190443$$uhttps://zaguan.unizar.es/record/86305/files/texto_completo.pdf$$yPostprint
000086305 8564_ $$s285584$$uhttps://zaguan.unizar.es/record/86305/files/texto_completo.jpg?subformat=icon$$xicon$$yPostprint
000086305 909CO $$ooai:zaguan.unizar.es:86305$$particulos$$pdriver
000086305 951__ $$a2020-07-16-09:27:00
000086305 980__ $$aARTICLE