000095836 001__ 95836
000095836 005__ 20210902121756.0
000095836 0247_ $$2doi$$a10.1088/1748-9326/ab9c4f
000095836 0248_ $$2sideral$$a120154
000095836 037__ $$aART-2020-120154
000095836 041__ $$aeng
000095836 100__ $$aPena-Angulo, D.
000095836 245__ $$aLong-term precipitation in Southwestern Europe reveals no clear trend attributable to anthropogenic forcing
000095836 260__ $$c2020
000095836 5060_ $$aAccess copy available to the general public$$fUnrestricted
000095836 5203_ $$aWe present a long-term assessment of precipitation trends in Southwestern Europe (1850-2018) using data from multiple sources, including observations, gridded datasets and global climate model experiments. Contrary to previous investigations based on shorter records, we demonstrate, using new long-term, quality controlled precipitation series, the lack of statistically significant long-term decreasing trends in precipitation for the region. Rather, significant trends were mostly found for shorter periods, highlighting the prevalence of interdecadal and interannual variability at these time-scales. Global climate model outputs from three CMIP experiments are evaluated for periods concurrent with observations. Both the CMIP3 and CMIP5 ensembles show precipitation decline, with only CMIP6 showing agreement with long term trends in observations. However, for both CMIP3 and CMIP5 large interannual and internal variability among ensemble members makes it difficult to identify a trend that is statistically different from observations. Across both observations and models, our results make it difficult to associate any declining trends in precipitation in Southwestern Europe to anthropogenic forcing at this stage.
000095836 536__ $$9info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/H2020/690462/EU/European Research Area for Climate Services/ERA4CS$$9This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation program under grant agreement No H2020 690462-ERA4CS$$9info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/ES/MINECO-FEDER/CGL2017-82216-R$$9info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/ES/MINECO-FEDER/CGL2017-83866-C3-3-R$$9info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/ES/MINECO-FEDER/PCI2019-103631
000095836 540__ $$9info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess$$aby-nc-sa$$uhttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/3.0/es/
000095836 590__ $$a6.793$$b2020
000095836 591__ $$aMETEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES$$b8 / 94 = 0.085$$c2020$$dQ1$$eT1
000095836 591__ $$aENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES$$b33 / 273 = 0.121$$c2020$$dQ1$$eT1
000095836 592__ $$a2.37$$b2020
000095836 593__ $$aEnvironmental Science (miscellaneous)$$c2020$$dQ1
000095836 593__ $$aRenewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment$$c2020$$dQ1
000095836 593__ $$aPublic Health, Environmental and Occupational Health$$c2020$$dQ1
000095836 655_4 $$ainfo:eu-repo/semantics/article$$vinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
000095836 700__ $$aVicente-Serrano, S.M.
000095836 700__ $$0(orcid)0000-0003-3085-7040$$aDominguez-Castro, F.
000095836 700__ $$aMurphy, C.
000095836 700__ $$aReig, F.
000095836 700__ $$aTramblay, Y.
000095836 700__ $$aTrigo, R.M.
000095836 700__ $$aLuna, M.Y.
000095836 700__ $$aTurco, M.
000095836 700__ $$aNoguera, I.
000095836 700__ $$aAznarez-Balta, M.
000095836 700__ $$aGarcia-Herrera, R.
000095836 700__ $$aTomas-Burguera, M.
000095836 700__ $$aEl Kenawy, A.
000095836 773__ $$g15, 9 (2020), 094070 [11 pp]$$pEnvironmental Research Letters$$tEnvironmental Research Letters$$x1748-9326
000095836 8564_ $$s653842$$uhttps://zaguan.unizar.es/record/95836/files/texto_completo.pdf$$yVersión publicada
000095836 8564_ $$s89524$$uhttps://zaguan.unizar.es/record/95836/files/texto_completo.jpg?subformat=icon$$xicon$$yVersión publicada
000095836 909CO $$ooai:zaguan.unizar.es:95836$$particulos$$pdriver
000095836 951__ $$a2021-09-02-09:52:13
000095836 980__ $$aARTICLE