000099277 001__ 99277
000099277 005__ 20250619084223.0
000099277 0247_ $$2doi$$a10.1088/1742-5468/ab6a04
000099277 0248_ $$2sideral$$a117908
000099277 037__ $$aART-2020-117908
000099277 041__ $$aeng
000099277 100__ $$0(orcid)0000-0002-6388-4056$$aSoriano-Paños, David$$uUniversidad de Zaragoza
000099277 245__ $$aImpact of temporal scales and recurrent mobility patterns on the unfolding of epidemics
000099277 260__ $$c2020
000099277 5060_ $$aAccess copy available to the general public$$fUnrestricted
000099277 5203_ $$aHuman mobility plays a key role on the transformation of local disease outbreaks into global pandemics. Indeed, the inclusion of population movement into epidemic models has become mandatory for understanding current epidemic episodes as well as designing efficient prevention policies. Following this challenge, here we develop a Markovian framework that enables us to address the impact of recurrent mobility patterns on epidemic onset at different temporal scales. The formalism is validated by comparing its predictions with results from mechanistic simulations. The fair agreement between theory and numerical simulations, enables us to derive an analytical expression for the epidemic threshold, capturing the critical conditions triggering epidemic outbreaks. Finally, by performing an exhaustive analysis of this epidemic threshold, we reveal that the impact of tuning human mobility on the emergence of diseases is strongly affected by the temporal scales associated to both epidemiological and mobility processes.
000099277 536__ $$9info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/ES/DGA/E36-17R$$9info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/ES/FIS/2015-71582-C2$$9info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/ES/MINECO/FIS2017-87519-P
000099277 540__ $$9info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess$$aAll rights reserved$$uhttp://www.europeana.eu/rights/rr-f/
000099277 590__ $$a2.231$$b2020
000099277 591__ $$aPHYSICS, MATHEMATICAL$$b14 / 55 = 0.255$$c2020$$dQ2$$eT1
000099277 591__ $$aMECHANICS$$b73 / 135 = 0.541$$c2020$$dQ3$$eT2
000099277 592__ $$a0.427$$b2020
000099277 593__ $$aStatistical and Nonlinear Physics$$c2020$$dQ3
000099277 593__ $$aStatistics, Probability and Uncertainty$$c2020$$dQ3
000099277 593__ $$aStatistics and Probability$$c2020$$dQ3
000099277 655_4 $$ainfo:eu-repo/semantics/article$$vinfo:eu-repo/semantics/acceptedVersion
000099277 700__ $$aGhoshal, Gourab
000099277 700__ $$aArenas, Alex
000099277 700__ $$0(orcid)0000-0001-5204-1937$$aGómez-Gardeñes, Jesús$$uUniversidad de Zaragoza
000099277 7102_ $$12003$$2395$$aUniversidad de Zaragoza$$bDpto. Física Materia Condensa.$$cÁrea Física Materia Condensada
000099277 773__ $$g2020, 2 (2020), 024006 [16 pp.]$$pJ. Stat. Mech.-Theory Exp.$$tJournal of Statistical Mechanics: Theory and Experiment$$x1742-5468
000099277 8564_ $$s1518987$$uhttps://zaguan.unizar.es/record/99277/files/texto_completo.pdf$$yPostprint
000099277 8564_ $$s1525519$$uhttps://zaguan.unizar.es/record/99277/files/texto_completo.jpg?subformat=icon$$xicon$$yPostprint
000099277 909CO $$ooai:zaguan.unizar.es:99277$$particulos$$pdriver
000099277 951__ $$a2025-06-19-08:41:25
000099277 980__ $$aARTICLE