99277 20250619084223.0 doi 10.1088/1742-5468/ab6a04 sideral 117908 ART-2020-117908 eng Soriano-Paños, David Universidad de Zaragoza (orcid)0000-0002-6388-4056 Impact of temporal scales and recurrent mobility patterns on the unfolding of epidemics 2020 Access copy available to the general public Unrestricted Human mobility plays a key role on the transformation of local disease outbreaks into global pandemics. Indeed, the inclusion of population movement into epidemic models has become mandatory for understanding current epidemic episodes as well as designing efficient prevention policies. Following this challenge, here we develop a Markovian framework that enables us to address the impact of recurrent mobility patterns on epidemic onset at different temporal scales. The formalism is validated by comparing its predictions with results from mechanistic simulations. The fair agreement between theory and numerical simulations, enables us to derive an analytical expression for the epidemic threshold, capturing the critical conditions triggering epidemic outbreaks. Finally, by performing an exhaustive analysis of this epidemic threshold, we reveal that the impact of tuning human mobility on the emergence of diseases is strongly affected by the temporal scales associated to both epidemiological and mobility processes. info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/ES/DGA/E36-17R info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/ES/FIS/2015-71582-C2 info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/ES/MINECO/FIS2017-87519-P info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess All rights reserved http://www.europeana.eu/rights/rr-f/ 2.231 2020 PHYSICS, MATHEMATICAL 14 / 55 = 0.255 2020 Q2 T1 MECHANICS 73 / 135 = 0.541 2020 Q3 T2 0.427 2020 Statistical and Nonlinear Physics 2020 Q3 Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty 2020 Q3 Statistics and Probability 2020 Q3 info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/acceptedVersion Ghoshal, Gourab Arenas, Alex Gómez-Gardeñes, Jesús Universidad de Zaragoza (orcid)0000-0001-5204-1937 2003 395 Universidad de Zaragoza Dpto. Física Materia Condensa. Área Física Materia Condensada 2020, 2 (2020), 024006 [16 pp.] J. Stat. Mech.-Theory Exp. Journal of Statistical Mechanics: Theory and Experiment 1742-5468 1518987 http://zaguan.unizar.es/record/99277/files/texto_completo.pdf Postprint 1525519 http://zaguan.unizar.es/record/99277/files/texto_completo.jpg?subformat=icon icon Postprint oai:zaguan.unizar.es:99277 articulos driver 2025-06-19-08:41:25 ARTICLE