Terrorism Determinants, Model Uncertainty and Space in Colombia

Sanso-Navarro, Marcos (Universidad de Zaragoza) ; Sanz Gracia, Fernando (Universidad de Zaragoza) ; Vera-Cabello, María

Resumen: This paper studies the determinants of terrorism at the sub-national level in Colombia during 2001–2014. In order to establish robust relationships, a Bayesian model averaging framework has been implemented using departmental data. We find that the violence suffered by this country is linked to economic factors, especially labor market outcomes. The results obtained are not significantly altered by the use of relative measures of terror, the specification of alternative parameters and model priors or the presence of spatial dependence. The main conclusion drawn from our analysis is that an appropriate strategy to fight against terrorism in similar contexts is to increase its opportunity cost. This might be achieved through the promotion of inclusive socioeconomic development, primarily in rural areas.

Idioma: Inglés

DOI: 10.1080/10242694.2021.1880721

Año: 2023

Publicado en: Defence and Peace Economics 34, 1 (2023), 92-111
ISSN: 1024-2694

Factor impacto JCR: 1.6 (2023)

Categ. JCR: ECONOMICS rank: 273 / 600 = 0.455 (2023) - Q2 - T2

Factor impacto CITESCORE: 4.0 - Social Sciences (miscellaneous) (Q1) - Economics and Econometrics (Q2)

Factor impacto SCIMAGO: 0.539 - Social Sciences (miscellaneous) (Q2) - Economics and Econometrics (Q2)

Financiación: info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/ES/DGA/S39-17R
Financiación: info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/ES/MINECO/ECO2017-82246-P
Financiación: info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/ES/UZ/CUD2018-SOC-07

Tipo y forma: Article (PostPrint)

Área (Departamento): Área Fund. Análisis Económico (Dpto. Análisis Económico)