000126806 001__ 126806
000126806 005__ 20240705134154.0
000126806 0247_ $$2doi$$a10.1038/s41598-023-36169-2
000126806 0248_ $$2sideral$$a134207
000126806 037__ $$aART-2023-134207
000126806 041__ $$aeng
000126806 100__ $$aBelvis, Francesc
000126806 245__ $$aKey epidemiological indicators and spatial autocorrelation patterns across five waves of COVID-19 in Catalonia
000126806 260__ $$c2023
000126806 5060_ $$aAccess copy available to the general public$$fUnrestricted
000126806 5203_ $$aThis research studies the evolution of COVID-19 crude incident rates, effective reproduction number R(t) and their relationship with incidence spatial autocorrelation patterns in the 19 months following the disease outbreak in Catalonia (Spain). A cross-sectional ecological panel design based on n = 371 health-care geographical units is used. Five general outbreaks are described, systematically preceded by generalized values of R(t) > 1 in the two previous weeks. No clear regularities concerning possible initial focus appear when comparing waves. As for autocorrelation, we identify a wave’s baseline pattern in which global Moran’s I increases rapidly in the first weeks of the outbreak to descend later. However, some waves significantly depart from the baseline. In the simulations, both baseline pattern and departures can be reproduced when measures aimed at reducing mobility and virus transmissibility are introduced. Spatial autocorrelation is inherently contingent on the outbreak phase and is also substantially modified by external interventions affecting human behavior.
000126806 536__ $$9info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/ES/MICINN/PID2020-117029RB-I00
000126806 540__ $$9info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess$$aby$$uhttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/es/
000126806 592__ $$a0.9$$b2023
000126806 593__ $$aMultidisciplinary$$c2023$$dQ1
000126806 655_4 $$ainfo:eu-repo/semantics/article$$vinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
000126806 700__ $$0(orcid)0000-0002-1192-8707$$aAleta, Alberto$$uUniversidad de Zaragoza
000126806 700__ $$aPadilla-Pozo, Álvaro
000126806 700__ $$aPericàs, Juan-M.
000126806 700__ $$aFernández-Gracia, Juan
000126806 700__ $$aRodríguez, Jorge P.
000126806 700__ $$aEguíluz, Víctor M.
000126806 700__ $$aDe Santana, Charles Novaes
000126806 700__ $$aJulià, Mireia
000126806 700__ $$aBenach, Joan
000126806 700__ $$aBenach, Núria
000126806 700__ $$aCash-Gibson, Lucinda
000126806 700__ $$aDelclós, Carles
000126806 700__ $$aGutiérrez-Zamora, Mariana
000126806 700__ $$aMartínez-Herrera, Eliana
000126806 700__ $$aPalmer, John
000126806 700__ $$aRojas-Gualdrón, Diego-F.
000126806 7102_ $$12004$$2405$$aUniversidad de Zaragoza$$bDpto. Física Teórica$$cÁrea Física Teórica
000126806 773__ $$g13 (2023), 9709 [11 pp.]$$pSci. rep. (Nat. Publ. Group)$$tScientific reports (Nature Publishing Group)$$x2045-2322
000126806 8564_ $$s3174918$$uhttps://zaguan.unizar.es/record/126806/files/texto_completo.pdf$$yVersión publicada
000126806 8564_ $$s2648350$$uhttps://zaguan.unizar.es/record/126806/files/texto_completo.jpg?subformat=icon$$xicon$$yVersión publicada
000126806 909CO $$ooai:zaguan.unizar.es:126806$$particulos$$pdriver
000126806 951__ $$a2024-07-05-12:49:28
000126806 980__ $$aARTICLE