Resumen: This paper analyses the effects of the main determinants of international aggregate agricultural supply. We propose a new model that captures the farmers’ expectations through the storage approach, instead of using Nerlove''s basic model. As an innovation, we add the effects of efficiency and technological change directly, thus achieving a more powerful and informative estimation than with the usual dynamic model. Moreover, we consider the effect of climate and construct a sowing and harvesting calendar for each country and each crop to measure the supply more precisely. We also analyze the effects of agricultural prices and their volatility, of commercial policy and of changes in inventories on the suppliers’ decisions. Finally, we examine the differences in these determinants depending on the level of development of the countries. [EconLit citations: Q11, Q16, Q18]. Idioma: Inglés DOI: 10.1002/agr.21514 Año: 2017 Publicado en: Agribusiness 33, 4 (2017), 569-585 ISSN: 0742-4477 Factor impacto JCR: 1.147 (2017) Categ. JCR: ECONOMICS rank: 174 / 353 = 0.493 (2017) - Q2 - T2 Categ. JCR: AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY rank: 9 / 17 = 0.529 (2017) - Q3 - T2 Categ. JCR: FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY rank: 89 / 133 = 0.669 (2017) - Q3 - T3 Factor impacto SCIMAGO: 0.487 - Agronomy and Crop Science (Q2) - Animal Science and Zoology (Q2) - Geography, Planning and Development (Q2) - Food Science (Q2) - Economics and Econometrics (Q2)