Recent heatwaves as a prelude to climate extremes in the western Mediterranean region

Tejedor, Ernesto ; Benito, Gerardo ; Serrano-Notivoli, Roberto (Universidad de Zaragoza) ; González-Rouco, Fidel ; Esper, Jan ; Büntgen, Ulf

Resumen: The 2022 and 2023 western Mediterranean summer temperatures exceeded millennial natural variability, reaching unprecedented anomalies of +3.6 °C and +2.9 °C respectively. We show that anthropogenic climate change may turn extreme heatwaves from a rarity of 1 in 10,000 years into events occurring every 4–75 years, depending on future scenarios. This shift underscores the urgency of implementing adaptive strategies as extreme climate events manifest sooner and more intensely than expected.

Idioma: Inglés

DOI: 10.1038/s41612-024-00771-6

Año: 2024

Publicado en: npj climate and atmospheric science 7, 218 (2024), [77 pp-]
ISSN: 2397-3722

Financiación: info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/H2020/101024389/EU/medITerranean HydroclimAte variability over the Common erA/ITHACA
Financiación: info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/ES/MICINN/RYC2021-034330-I

Tipo y forma: Article (Published version)

Área (Departamento): Área Geografía Física (Dpto. Geograf. Ordenac.Territ.)