000145247 001__ 145247 000145247 005__ 20241015122513.0 000145247 0247_ $$2doi$$a10.1016/j.econlet.2024.111992 000145247 0248_ $$2sideral$$a140009 000145247 037__ $$aART-2024-140009 000145247 041__ $$aeng 000145247 100__ $$0(orcid)0000-0001-6609-4247$$aGadea-Rivas, Maria Dolores$$uUniversidad de Zaragoza 000145247 245__ $$aTrends in temperature data: Micro-foundations of their nature 000145247 260__ $$c2024 000145247 5060_ $$aAccess copy available to the general public$$fUnrestricted 000145247 5203_ $$aDetermining whether Global Average Temperature (GAT) is an integrated process of order 1, I(1), or a stationary process around a trend function is crucial for detection, attribution, impact, and forecasting studies of climate change. In this paper, we investigate the nature of trends in GAT building on the analysis of individual temperature grids. Our micro-founded evidence suggests that GAT is stationary around a non-linear deterministic trend in the form of a linear function with one structural break. This break can be attributed to a combination of breaks on individual grids and the standard aggregation method under acceleration in global warming. 000145247 536__ $$9info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/ES/MICINN/CEX2021-001181-M$$9info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/ES/MICINN/PID2019-104960GB-I00$$9info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/ES/MICINN/PID2020-114646RB-C42$$9info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EUR/MICINN/TED2021-129784B-IO0 000145247 540__ $$9info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess$$aby-nc$$uhttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/3.0/es/ 000145247 655_4 $$ainfo:eu-repo/semantics/article$$vinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion 000145247 700__ $$aGonzalo, Jesús 000145247 700__ $$aRamos, Andrey 000145247 7102_ $$14014$$2225$$aUniversidad de Zaragoza$$bDpto. Economía Aplicada$$cÁrea Economía Aplicada 000145247 773__ $$g244 (2024), 111992 [6 pp.]$$pEcon. lett.$$tEconomics Letters$$x0165-1765 000145247 8564_ $$s1073524$$uhttps://zaguan.unizar.es/record/145247/files/texto_completo.pdf$$yVersión publicada 000145247 8564_ $$s2775820$$uhttps://zaguan.unizar.es/record/145247/files/texto_completo.jpg?subformat=icon$$xicon$$yVersión publicada 000145247 909CO $$ooai:zaguan.unizar.es:145247$$particulos$$pdriver 000145247 951__ $$a2024-10-15-10:50:44 000145247 980__ $$aARTICLE