Economic convergence of Balkan regions towards EU

González-Álvarez, María A. (Universidad de Zaragoza) ; Montañés, Antonio (Universidad de Zaragoza) ; Ruiz, Esther ; Uku, Skender

Resumen: This paper analyzes convergence of per capita Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of Balkan NUTS3 regions to average GDP of the EU27. Employing stochastic and -convergence approaches, we find strong evidence supporting convergence across the panel, indicating a robust catch-up trend of the Balkans with EU GDP with a significant break around the Great Recession. However, this pattern is not uniform across all individual regions, with some of them exhibiting divergence (mainly Greece and some regions in Croatia, Albania and Serbia). We also categorize groups of economies sharing similar divergence patterns. Additionally, among the regions that converge, convergence rates vary, with some regions progressing faster (Bulgaria, Montenegro and North Macedonia). Our results suggest the critical necessity for policy interventions to hasten the convergence process by encouraging substantial reforms. If regional disparities are addressed and balanced development is promoted, Balkan countries can achieve more robust integration into the European economic framework.

Idioma: Inglés

DOI: 10.1080/15140326.2025.2460149

Año: 2025

Publicado en: Journal of Applied Economics 28, 1 (2025), 248-278
ISSN: 1514-0326

Financiación: info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/ES/MINECO/PID2020-114646RB-C44
Financiación: info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/ES/MINECO/PID2022-139614NB-C2
Financiación: info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/ES/MINECO/PID2023-150095NB-C44

Tipo y forma: Artículo (Versión definitiva)

Área (Departamento): Área Fund. Análisis Económico (Dpto. Análisis Económico)