000061334 001__ 61334
000061334 005__ 20170520135542.0
000061334 0247_ $$2doi$$a10.1016/j.gloplacha.2006.11.005
000061334 0248_ $$2sideral$$a61371
000061334 037__ $$aART-2007-61371
000061334 041__ $$aeng
000061334 100__ $$0(orcid)0000-0002-7974-7435$$aAbaurrea, J.$$uUniversidad de Zaragoza
000061334 245__ $$aModeling and forecasting extreme hot events in the central Ebro Valley, a continental-mediterranean area
000061334 260__ $$c2007
000061334 5060_ $$aAccess copy available to the general public$$fUnrestricted
000061334 5203_ $$aThis work has three objectives, first, to analyze the observed change in the summer maximum daily temperature during the period 1951–2004, in the centre of the Ebro river basin, a region situated in the NE of the Iberian Peninsula. Secondly, to characterize the extreme hot event behaviour by means of a statistical model consisting of a non-homogeneous Poisson process, to represent the occurrence, and three regression models, each with an adequate non-Normal error distribution, to model its severity. The model parameters are allowed to depend on temperature covariates, to take into account the influence of global warming in hot event generating process. Finally, using the fitted model and different outputs from a GCM, we obtain a medium term projection, up to 2050, of the expected behaviour of these extreme events.
000061334 536__ $$9info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/ES/MICINN/REN2002-00009
000061334 540__ $$9info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess$$aby-nc-nd$$uhttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/es/
000061334 590__ $$a2.311$$b2007
000061334 591__ $$aGEOGRAPHY, PHYSICAL$$b6 / 31 = 0.194$$c2007$$dQ1$$eT1
000061334 591__ $$aGEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY$$b22 / 136 = 0.162$$c2007$$dQ1$$eT1
000061334 655_4 $$ainfo:eu-repo/semantics/article$$vinfo:eu-repo/semantics/acceptedVersion
000061334 700__ $$0(orcid)0000-0002-0174-789X$$aAsin,J.$$uUniversidad de Zaragoza
000061334 700__ $$0(orcid)0000-0002-9052-9674$$aCebrian, A.$$uUniversidad de Zaragoza
000061334 700__ $$aCentelles, A.
000061334 7102_ $$12007$$2265$$aUniversidad de Zaragoza$$bDepartamento de Métodos Estadísticos$$cEstadística e Investigación Operativa
000061334 773__ $$g57, 1-2 (2007), 43-58$$pGlob. planet. change$$tGLOBAL AND PLANETARY CHANGE$$x0921-8181
000061334 8564_ $$s797693$$uhttps://zaguan.unizar.es/record/61334/files/texto_completo.pdf$$yPostprint
000061334 8564_ $$s94069$$uhttps://zaguan.unizar.es/record/61334/files/texto_completo.jpg?subformat=icon$$xicon$$yPostprint
000061334 909CO $$ooai:zaguan.unizar.es:61334$$particulos$$pdriver
000061334 951__ $$a2017-05-19-13:44:14
000061334 980__ $$aARTICLE