Uncertainty in Irrigation Technology: Insights from a CGE Approach

Sánchez Choliz, J. (Universidad de Zaragoza) ; Sarasa, C. (Universidad de Zaragoza)

Resumen: The benefits of technological improvement are uncertain. The timing of the introduction and take-up of new technologies is difficult to estimate. Technological improvements play a decisive role in water policy. In the context of water policy design, we evaluate the implications of uncertainty in the gradual process of enhancements to the efficiency of irrigation water use, for a better understanding of the extent to which these improvements could mitigate the output losses derived from water constraints. To accomplish this, we address simultaneous sensitivity analyses within a dynamic Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model to analyze different uncertainty scenarios. Our results show that the date on which advanced technology becomes available and enters general use is quite significant. The greater and faster the improvements in irrigation technologies, the better.

Idioma: Inglés

DOI: 10.3390/w11030617

Año: 2019

Publicado en: Water (Switzerland) 11, 3 (2019), 617 [13 pp]
ISSN: 2073-4441

Factor impacto SCIMAGO: 0.108 - Water Science and Technology (Q2) - Biochemistry (Q3) - Fluid Flow and Transfer Processes (Q4)

Financiación: info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/ES/DGA-FEDER/S10
Financiación: info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/ES/MICINN/ECO2016-74940-P
Financiación: info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/ES/MINECO/ECO2013-41353-P

Tipo y forma: Artículo (Versión definitiva)

Área (Departamento): Área Fund. Análisis Económico (Dpto. Análisis Económico)